Sunday, September 25, 2005

Is RSS the new TV?

So I've been thinking, is RSS the new TV? RSS seems to be rapidly emerging as the de facto technology used for distributing and retrieving content in today's web. While thus far much of it has been restricted to blogosphere, I think the implications can reach much further. I think a couple of characteristics makes RSS extremely compelling

1. It's similar to TV in that both are "push model" technologies. However, RSS is different that my desired content is "pushed out" in the background while I do other activities, and I'm free to consume this content on my own time. This is rather different than search or browsing's "pull model" where I have to actively seek and fetch the content I desire. It's not unlike TiVo where I can consume content "on-demand"

At the same time, I have much more discretion over the content source. I only subscribe to sources I want when I want, and I get much more non-establishment, grassroot information. Granted the signal-to-noise ratio is worse, but there's a lot of garbage on TV too.

I would not be surprised if the next generation aggregator built in intelligence (pattern matching, collaborative filtering) that automatically identified new content (feeds) based on what you are currently consuming. Think Amazon recommendations/MySpace + RSS, or maybe even Yahoo 360-like hey your friends are reading/listening/watching this feed, don't you want to watch this too? Now throw an Adsense contextual advertising model on top of that. Yes contextual ads are already being placed in RSS, no big deal. But if it's also combined w/ the context of your other activities, such as your search history, your peripheral devices & their capabilities, what you have on the sidebar, etc., the advertisement could be much more powerful. There is a compelling scenario of how Google and Tivo can combine to use your search context can deliver to super-pinpointed and compelling product ads/offers, which is very interesting. I don't see what you couldn't do the same w/ RSS.

Now text content by itself isn't all that, doesn't nearly compare to the entertainment value of TV. But w/ RSS 2.0 and enclosures, it could be much more interesting

2. Enclosures basically allow you to enclose ("attach") any sort of media w/ RSS, be it photos, video, music, etc. Winer describes how RSS enclosures can easily be used to deliver video content. So now you can get your favorite Pirillo podcasts, Daily Show from comedy central, and your best friends awesome pics from her last Europe trip, any time, any where you want, all via RSS. And you can respond via comments and publish your own content (again, using RSS), which makes the interaction two-way and much better than TV. If I can do all of this at my own control, would I still even want TV in its traditional timed, one-way model? Especially if advertisers get better returns based on the new model due to contextual history from other sources? I would think the studio, advertisers, and customers can all win out on this. Yes, certain content like sports will still be difficult to distribute, but for most other content I hardly even bother w/ TV anymore. Especially news. Maybe it'll be a powerful supplement to TV

3. Now imagine if you can take all of this RSS goodness on the go with a myriad of peripheral devices, hmm, would it get more interesting? Let's find out...

On a related note, since Google's rolling out national WiFi, there's been much speculation of their strategy. If I were Google I would offer free access to consumer in exchange for their activity context while online (search history, browsing, the whole shebang), then combine that w/ Local search and Adsense to deliver some real-time, location specific ads/product offers. That'd be pretty cool. Privacy is an issue, but I think a good number of users will feel most of the time privacy is a small price to pay for free access, myself included. There should of course be an option to opt out while I'm doing personal acitivies like online banking or whatever, but that's a minority of the time to me. Advertising based access has been tried before, w/ Netzero and all, but it's possible Google will be more successful at it thanks to their search expertise.

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So I have to admit, I did go to the fountain and drink some Kool-Aid at the company meeting. Forget the speeches, all the VPs sound the same after a while. But actually seeing the product demos? That was pretty fucking cool. Outlook + RSS + Sharepoint? Sweet. Xbox 360? Makes me drool. Start.com + Sidebar + Sidehow? That's got hella potential (plus it's my team!). IPTV? new Hotmail? Sure there were plenty other things that blew, but not everything was a me-too product. There were some cool stuff. Our management may suck, but down in the trenches some of us peons are still making interesting stuff. That instills some hope. Though the miniscule dividend was disappointing; that means the stock price isn't going anywhere for a while, oh well...

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Wow, has anyone noticed RedHerring's back? I sure didn't know. When they shut down that was like the end of an era. I'm glad to see them back.

5 comments:

Huat said...

Interesting take, I think broadcast TV will be around for a while longer due to its cheapness and simplicity, but on-demand, personalized IPTV is probably the wave of the future.

Re: #1, Findory (www.findory.com) is a pretty good personalized (collaborative filtering) feedreader. The CEO used to head the personalization group at Amazon. He's got a good blog at glinden.blogspot.com where he talks a lot about RSS and personalization.

closetmusician said...

Cheapness and simplicity? I don't know. My cable bill is well over $150 a month, and I only watch maybe 5 channels out of the 500 I get regularly, even w/ a DVR. I only consume a portion of the content for which I'm paying an "all or nothing" premium. I watch a few shows, some sports, but the rest 90% channels I don't even watch. Why can't we move to an a la carte, on-demand model, and not just for TV content? I can only get mass media TV content via IPTV. What about content from friends & family? What if I want to aggregate all other types of content like music, podcasts, photos and text via one "channel", or one delivery mechanism?

I'm not saying do away w/ TV, I don't think network studios are going away any time soon, you still need NBC to produce Friends and ABC to show the Lakers. that's going away any time soon. But how can RSS complement and change the way we consume content in general, including TV?

Thanks for the link on findory, I will definitely check that out.

Huat said...

I agree there's value in on-demand TV, especially for high-end consumers like yourself who care about efficient use of their TV-watching time. But broadcast TV is cheap and simple: Plug in your TV, set up an antenna, and that's it. With IPTV, you need a broadband connection, a set-top box, and a business and software infrastructure for acquiring and delivering compelling content that no one has perfected yet. If you want to do HDTV, you may even need a fiber-optic connection. It's all doable, but when someone finally gets it right, it's likely to be expensive and to appeal to high-end, savvy consumers. So I don't see it totally supplanting broadcast anytime soon.

BTW, check out Akimbo, they're doing on-demand IPTV (totally over the Internet, no need to subscribe to cable). I think their main shortcoming right now is lack of content, but if they can win over enough content providers, they'll have a compelling product.

Huat said...

BTW, why does the TV have to be the device? TVs are cool because they enable multiple people to watch the same program, but if we're talking about personalized TV, wouldn't you prefer to consume all your content--TV shows, music, podcasts, etc.--over a personal device like a lifestyle PC?

I think that may be what you're arguing, I just didn't understand it at first. :)

closetmusician said...

yes, that is exactly what I'm saying. Why be tied to your TV, when RSS frees you to consume content on a bunch of different types of devices, maybe even a lifestyle PC (though I still have my doubts about that)?

good to hear from you domi! glad to see that you are turning into a gourmet chef, in addition to being a high-powered physician ;)